PRLog (Press Release) – Jul 05, 2011 – BMI View: Greece's construction sector is constrained by the country's wider fiscal and economic problems. Although a spate of new projects was announced in early 2011, investors continue to question the country's ability to pull in sufficient investment, the feasibility of a number of projects (especially roads) and the country's solvency. New historical data for infrastructure highlight the severity of the recession in the sector and have prompted a further downward revision to our forecasts. We foresee a prolonged recession in the medium term and stagnant growth in the long term
* The long overdue privatisation of a number of assets is due over the coming months, including the state-owned Public Power Corporation (PPC), and water and gas utilities. This is part of a wider public asset divestment programme through which the government aims to raise EUR50bn by 2015. * In the airports and ports sector, the government is planning an extension of the concession for the Athens International Airport (owned and operated by Hochtief Concessions) as well as the privatisation of several regional airports. The securitisation of some port assets and new public private partnerships (PPPs) to expand ports around the country are also in the pipeline. * Toll road operators have returned to the negotiating table to hammer out an agreement on the tenure of their concessions and planned toll increases - in light of a wave of campaigns against toll roads that caused disruption along several key arteries. * The economic troubles and nebulous regulatory environment also fuel scepticism about the government's claims that it could entice as much as EUR45bn (US$62.78bn) in renewable energy investments over the next five years. The government expects renewable investment to reach EUR1.2bn (US$1.67bn) in 2011, representing a sharp jump on just EUR400mn (US$558mn) invested in 2009. The prime minister reiterated that he would like to see PPP models take a central role in Greece's energy sector.
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With eurozone's economic recovery weaker than expected in the final quarter of 2010, BMI sees significant downside risk to the Greek construction industry's near-term return to growth. We estimate growth of 1.2% in 2012, extending the sector's contraction by an additional year.
Report Table of Contents:
SWOT Analysis - Greece Infrastructure SWOT Market Overview manual trash compactor 3; - Greece Building Materials - Global Materials - Europe Overview - Table: Cement Price/Volume Variances Per Region Industry Forecast Scenario - Table: Greece Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data - Table: Greece Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data - Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario Transport Infrastructure - Table: Greece Transport Infrastructure Industry Data - Table: Greece Transport Infrastructure Industry Data helicop ter technology - Transport Infrastructure Forecast Scenario - Transport Infrastructure Overview - Major Projects Table - Transport - Table: Major Infrastructure Projects - Transport Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Table: Greece Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data - Table: Greece Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data - Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Forecast Scenario - Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Overview - Major Projects Table - Energy And Utilities - Table: Major Infrastructure Projects - Energy & Utilities Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure - Table: Greece Residential and Non-residential Building Industry Data - Table: Greece Residential and Non-residential Building Industry Data - Residential/Non-Residential Construction Forecast Scenario - Residential/Non-Residential Construction Forecast Scenario - Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure Overview Business Environment - Greece Business Environment - Rewards - Risks - Regional Overview - Developed States Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings - Table: Global Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings Company Monitor - GEK Terna S.A - Aktor - J&P-AVAX Group Global Overview Methodology - Industry Forecasts - Construction Industry - Data Methodology - New Infrastructure Data Sub-sectors - Construction - Capital Investment - Construction Sector Employment - Infrastructure Business Environment Rating - Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators
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